Bob on today’s fun at #newcastleraces and #newburyraces

Sitting at a kids birthday party whilst writing this so don’t expect too much analysis. However, that said, at least 2 of the races have really poor turnouts which is a shame.

Fighting Fifth 2:05 Newcastle

Not much to talk about here Buyer D’Air is nailed on for this so should really win.

John Francome Chase 12:40 Newbury

Poor turn out for a Class 1 race. Could be any of them! Give it a miss.

intermediate Hurdle 2:25 Newbury

I reckon Crooked Peak looking at the previous stats.

Trophy Chase 3:00 Newbury

I have to go with What Approach as it is in my Ten to Follow Stable.

God’s the noise in this place is amazing!

Bob looks to the past for #ascotraces and #haydockraces

2:05 1965 Chase

Only a fool would bet against Altior on a soft track in which the favourites do quite well. However, the odds are really poor so either give it a miss, put it in as part of larger bet or be brave and put £1 on Solomon Grey at 80/1.

Verdict: ALTIOR to Win

2:25 Stayers Hurdle

Lower weights do better in the larger field and as it is moving towards good the shorter odd horses are better. David Pipe does well here and I hope will continue with that form.

UMBRIGADO to Win

2:40 The Ascot Hurdle

This is going to be between Call Me Lord and If The Cap Fits with the latter I reckon fitting the profile slightly better. Lower odds and favourites do well on soft ground historically as well as Irish horses with a Sadler’s Wells pedigree.

Verdict: IF THE CAP FITS to Win

3:00 Lancashire Chase

I am going to be brave here and plump for Ballyoptic who fits the profile better. An older horse, ridden and placed this season with a Sadler’s Wells pedigree.

Verdict: BALLYOPTIC to Win

Tuesday’s Tips at #Lingfieldraces & #Fakenhamraces

Back to the grind with the system. Skelton at Lingfield today should hopefully get back some money from the losses at the weekend.

2:30 Lingfield – King D’Argent

3:00 Lingfield – Clondaw Anchor

One H Daly runner stands out at Fakenham.

1:40 Fakenham – Black Tulip

Plus one that doesn’t quite fit the system but could be worth a punt.

3:10 Fakenham – Defi Sacre

Bob has a last look at #Cheltenhamraces Part 2

Well, a second and a first place in the previous races aint too bad. Just time to look at the last Big Race – The Novices Hurdle

4 and 5 year olds are the ones to focus on from the historical stats. Top weights have done well in the race before but I think today with the ground the way it is that might be a hindrance. So for me ECCO will outlast Pacify.

Verdict: ECCO to win

Bob looks at Sundays #Cheltenhamraces Part 1

Well the report card for Baz and myself from yesterday would read “Does lots of work but is losing out in the final test!” Maybe we over analyse.

1:50 November Novices Chase

Favourites are more likely to win on soft ground according to the historical analysis. Winners must also have won last time out and won on soft going before.

Although P Nicholls has a steely grip on this race I believe looking at the form of AL DANCER compared to Getaway Trump that he will perform better on this surface.

Verdict: AL DANCER for the win

2:25 Cheltenham Chase (Shloer)

SO again we are looking for a similar horse to the first race. The 4 contenders are all very similar but the one with the best form on Soft/Heavy ground is Defi Du Seuil who is the favourite and favourites are more likely to win on soft ground.

Verdict: DEFI DU SEUIL to Win

Baz strums up support for Guitar Pete and Vieux Lion Rouge #Cheltenhamraces

Guitar Pete has won this season, won on soft at Cheltenham and has beaten Clan des Obeaux in a Group 1, thats why I’m backing him today at 16-1 in the 2:25 at Cheltenham. Demi Sang looks well weighted to run a good race also.

2:25 Cheltenham GUITAR PETE 16-1 OR 11-1 E/W XTRA 6 PLACES

Vieux Lion Rouge is my favourite racehorse and another who has won this season, loves soft and heavy ground and has past form in huge handicaps including a National Trial win a few years back. This horse generally finishes midfield in the grand national year in year out and in each case looks like he could easily go round another five times. If the horse wants it he will win and the worse conditions the better for the Scudamore charge.

3:00 Cheltenham VIEUX LION ROUGE 8-1

Bob’s second look at #Cheltenhamraces

Well, nowhere in the first race and a good second in the next. Lets see if it can get any better.

BetVictor Handicap Chase

There are not too many indicators here but not racing this season and last race out of the places is a good indicator. We are also looking for a horse on Soft/Heavy form. This leaves us with two horses Big River and Achille.

It might be a good idea to back BIG RIVER to win and Achille each way.

BetVictor Gold Cup

A lot of horses to sort through and not much stands out from the historic stats. So I am tempted to go for SLATE HOUSE but I am by no means convinced!

Bob’s first look at the #Cheltenhamraces

Well it nearly wasn’t on! The going is Soft but bound to be Heavy in places and that means it could well throw the form book away. However, the last 10 years at the course has seen a number of soft races so therefore the stats could still help out.

Hyde Novices Hurdle (Ballymore)

This looks like quite a close affair but for me there are two main horses to look at Champagne Well and I K Brunel. Both are in the right odds range and have raced this season already and won that race. What it will come down to is who is better at Soft to Heavy ground and looking at the races they have done so far I K Brunel comes out on top.

Verdict: I K Brunel to win

Prestbury Juvenile Hurdle (JCB Triumph)

Favourites and short odds do quite well in this race, as well as Paul Nicholls and that is why Mick Pastor is the head of the race at the moment. However, I think Botox Has could do well here but it could really go to any of them!

Verdict: Botox Has to win