Author: Bob

Bob looks at the main #wincantonraces

There are 3 main NH races on today at Wincanton, The Rising Stars, The Elite Hurdle and the Badger Ales Trophy.

All the betting guides have been updated looking at the last 10 years worth of winners.

SO what do they tell us?

Well in the Badger Ales Trophy the horse that fits the profile best is PRESENT MAN, a P Nicholls horse who is a course and Distance winner.

In the Elite Hurdle it is again a P Nicholls horse who has the better claims historically. A small field means top weight should win and that would be GRAND SANCY, it also is not the favourite and is a course and distance winner.

I am going to stick with P Nicholls in the Rising Stars who has IF YOU SAY RUN going. Reserve Tank looks a big threat but I have a feeling P Nicholls will clean up today.

VERDICT:

2:25 – IF YOU SAY RUN

3:00 – GRAND SANCY

3:35 – PRESENT MAN

Thursday’s Tips at #marketrasenraces and #sedgefieldraces

The first tip doesn’t follow the system but Julian Smith does not have many runners and with a strike rate of 47% and a win return of over 500% you have to pay attention to what he runs at Market Rasen.

3:50 – Caro Des Flos e/w

Anthony Honeyball is another who doesn’t run as many as some other trainers and has a good strike rate and win return.

2:45 – Sojourn to win

Meanwhile at Sedgefield we have Henry Oliver.

4:00 – Darlyn to win

Wednesday’s Tips at #musselburghraces

Getting a lot of second places through the system and historical betting so we are in the right area, just need a bit more luck to convert them into first places.

Todays Tips at Musselburgh where K Dagleish is the trainer with the good stats.

3:35 – Goldencard

3:55 – Gennady

If odds fall below 2/1 then make it a 2pt bet.

Will history repeat itself in the #haldongoldcup

HorseAge 6/7OR 150-159Last Race Mar-MayDid not win last raceGoing WinnerTrainer PN or TGFavouriteNot Top Weight4/1 or belowSadlers Wells Pedigree
JanikaYYYYYY
God’s OwnYYYYYYY
DolosYYYYYY
CharbelYYYY
DestrierYYYYYYY
LalorYYYYYY

The number of runners has been cut to 6 which is still 1 more than last year. We are left with some very good runners so lets see if we can find something that fits the historical stats.

God’s Own still fits this race nicely and that is probably why he has won this wice. Now will he win a third? Not sure to be honest, the small field has allowed older horses to win in the past so he is worth considering as an each way.

For me DOLOS looks to be the one to go for, fits the profile as well as God’s Own and has had a run this year which should be beneficial on the soft ground. Odds have slightly gone out since I started writing this to 5/1 but I reckon it will swing back in. I can see Destrier putting up a good fight and I would not be surprised if it won either.

Verdict: DOLOS to win, God’s Own Each Way

The Sodexo Gold Cup #ascotraces

Going to go for a couple of long shots on this one that fit the profile from the betting guide.

Couple of Each Way bets

  • BLACK CORTON the top weight I hope will defy this and get in the mix.
  • LARRY is much lighter but I reckon Gary Moore can do this race again being the leading trainer here in the last 10 outings of the race.