The 4:00PM at Ascot is a large flat handicap over 7f on sticky testing ground. Therefore I’m looking towards the bottom of the weights as stats suggest a good return against SP for this scenario.
0.5pt e/w TAUREAN STAR fits the bill exactly and has form on sticky ground at Goodwood. Form is a concern hence the hopeful 25-1 SP but there are excuses wrt surfaces and the drop in weight make this a worthy punt.
If your looking for something more proven then I cannot resist my usual punt on RIPP ORF who won this race last year and has about as much chance as any of managing it again.
0.5pt e/w RIPP ORF 4PM Ascot
0.5pt e/w TAUREAN STAR 4PM Ascot
At Haydock the 3:10 I’ve boiled it down to a three way split between FLYING TIGER, CHRISTOPHER WOOD and JOHN CONSTABLE. The latter won last year but has been off form preceding a recent wind-op. The middle one has a good record with current trainer and has to be feared at time of writing as the ATR market movers page shows it 27% green. The long-shot FLYING TIGER is in receipt of weight all round and at 20-1 probably the safest play in a very capable field.
0.5pt e/w FLYING TIGER 3:10 Haydock
0.5pt e/w JOHN CONSTABLE 3:10 Haydock