So the 14:05 Christy 1965 chase at Ascot sees some decent horses run, I find it difficult to see past Politologue who has course form from 2016 beating Rock the Kasbar who romped home last week. Politologue goes well fresh with two wins following breaks of over 200 days in previous years. It carries just 6lb more verses Sizing Granite after a 20L defeat of the latter so I am agreeing with Bob here and going for the favourite.
The Ascot Coral Hurdle at 14:40 is another race where favourite backers may find piece of mind. If the Cap Fits is at the same weight differential against We have a Dream when the former won by over 7L so other than a Bryony Frost/ Nicholls upset with Old Guard This seems another solid fave.
The Betfair Stayers Handicap at Haydock is a very interesting and difficult race to unpick. The reason to back First Assignment here is that he is 8lb well in as the penalty for last weeks win has not been applied yet.
It is all there for First Assignment but I don’t like the fact he has just run and am looking for less obvious dangers. The two I have found are Shades of Midnight who is appealing due to a lower handicap mark and the Interesting Folsom Blue. This is a Gordon Elliot horse with Richard Johnson booked to ride. The combination alone suggests ambition and the son of Old Vic has only won on heavy so it seems strange they would run this horse in such a big race if not convinced about the underfoot conditions.
By ignoring obvious ground concerns and looking purely at weights, Mr Antolini in the 13:50 at Haydock has a huge chance. This horse was tipped up by the tipping legend that is Frank Hickey and listening to the man purr about this horses chances is normally a once a season incident. It is all on the Racing Postcast for this week but at the odds I will be having a nibble at 9/2.
14:05 Ascot Politologue Win 1pt
14:40 Ascot If the Cap Fits Win 1pt
14:25 Haydock Folsom Blue 0.5pts EW and Shades of Midnight 0.5 pts EW
15:00 Haydock 2pts Win Native River 0.5 pts e/w Thistlecrack
13:50 Haydock 1pt EW Mr Antolini