Friday racing at #newburyraces – Bob

Class 1 racing starts early this week at Newbury with the Ladbroke Winter Carnival kicking off on Friday. There is also great racing at Newcastle with the Fighting Fifth on Saturday.

A quick look at Fridays racing.

Berkshire (Ladbrokes) Novices Chase

This has never been a large field but 4 horses is a bit pitiful.

There is not a lot between the 4 runners using historical stats, but I have won before with Spiritofthegames and think it may do the job again.

Ladbrokes Long Distance Hurdle Race

This is a better looking race with 8 runners.

Preferred Age Range 6-9 counts against Kris Spin and Unowhatimeanharry.

OR range counts in Clyne and Kris Spin.

The odds narrow down to just Wholestone, Sam Spinner and Unowhatimeanharry.

The preferred pedigree counts for Wholestone, Sam Spinner, Momella and Monbeg Theatre.

The field has 8 runners so using an extrapolation from the weight of the winner against size of field suggests that the winner must be within 3lbs of the top weight. Only Wholestone and Sam Spinner are in this range.

The going is soft at the moment so this counts against the favourite. So it is going to be a dust up between Wholestone and Sam Spinner and I will be betting on whichever is not the favourite!

Might be worth a punt on Monbeg Theatre each way.



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