Baz’s Analysis and Prediction for the Ladbrokes Long Distance Hurdle 15:00 Newbury. #Bobandbaz1 #Newburyraces

This is a difficult race laden with some of racing’s finest temperamental sorts. Wholestone by all intents and purposes should win this but I worry greatly about his only run at Newbury. Sixth out of six when 9lb lower compared to YounowhatImeanharry in todays race was Wholestones only disappointment but it came at Newbury and I worry it wont like the track, or the weight differential. Sam Spinner is young enough and brilliant enough early season to win but once again the weights show that re-opposing Wholestone will be difficult as Sam Spinner has 10L to find from Aintree.

I agree with Bob that Monbeg Theatre could be a good e/w bet but also think that Momella, who goes off almost at flyweight, may also warrant e/w inspection but caveats regarding a long lay off.

At the risk of getting stung more times than a Jack Russell sniffing a hornet’s nest I just cannot let Younowhatimeanharry go unbacked having dropped so low in the weights. This combined with the good reappearance and confident mutterings from the trainer decided it for me. It might be different if Wholestone takes to the track but I think over this distance we might have the oldest winner for a good few years. You know what I mean?

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