It started raining so tennis for the young one was cancelled, which has given me a better chance to complete the preview.
14:05 Newcastle – Fighting Fifth
It is quite difficult to separate the runners historically using the betting guide and Samcro comes out on top when you do this. However, BUVEUR D’AIR has a good record on Soft Ground and when Nicky Henderson has won here in the last 10 years the winner has always been the favourite. I am also a bit wary of Samcro after the defeat last time out.
14:25 Newbury – Gerry Feilden Hurdle
Using the betting guide, there are no stand out horses unfortunately. Ballymoy and Whatswrongwithyou get the nod but only just. At the end of the day WHATSWRONGWITHYOU has a better record on Soft going and is a course specialist.
15:00 Newbury – Trophy Chase
Again the betting guide really doesn’t sort out any winners from this field and I have had to use other stats based on Going, Distance and Course in order to make any headway. I finally ended up with 3 horses Thomas Patrick, Ms Parfois and Dingo Dollar, all who do well on historical stats but also on the other stats previously mentioned.
All perform fairly well on the Soft going although Dingo Dollar has only had one outing on Soft and won. This is a step up in distance for Ms Parfois but the other two have both won at this distance. Finally all have done well at Newbury in the past.
My slight preference is for the upcoming THOMAS PATRICK with an each way on Dingo Dollar.
So all my suggestions
12:45 Newbury – KILBRICKEN STORM
14:05 Newcastle – BUVEUR D’AIR
14:25 Newbury – WHATSWRONGWITHYOU
15:00 Newbury – THOMAS PATRICK (Dingo Dollar e/w)