Bob on the #challownovices at #newburyraces

Heading home today and knowing the connection on the ferry I probably will miss this race!

This looks to be an intriguing race with a very good field of which many could win. The betting guide is up and running for this race.

Winners peak at 5 years old of which there are 4 in the race, Brewin’Upastorm, Getaway Trump, Kateson and Nestor Park. The rest are 6 years old which have a slightly less percentage of winners (30% compared to 50%)

It is a 50/50 choice between favourites and non-favourites but less favourites have won on Good to Soft ground which is what it is at the time of writing. Therefore Champ being the favourite has a negative against him.

They are all distance winners except Brewin’Upastorm, who is a winner on the same going along with Champ. Kateson has not won on Good to Soft but has won on Soft and Good suggesting that it should not be a problem. Nestor Park also has a good record on the going. Whilst being a course winner is not such an advantage it should be noted that Kateson and Champ both are.

Champ, Kateson and Nestor Park also have the preferred pedigree of Sadler’s Wells.

To add a bit of value to the proceedings I am gong to ignore Champ and plump for KATESON who I believe will do well in the race.

Start a Conversation

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *