14:05 Kempton 12 Jan 2019 32Red Casino Chase (Listed) (5YO plus)
Looking at this one it seems to me the form of Top Notch just doesn’t quite match that of CHARBEL. The latter has a win over God’s Own and a second against Politilogue and this has to be solid form against Top Notch who’s second to Yorkhill at the festival last year cannot reasonably be considered franked in any way. Charbel likes to front run which always puts me off but the inclusion of Speredek in the field I’m hoping will allow the selection to settle in just off the lead.
Also with this race Black Corton was a major festival fancy of mine last year but flopped with a 15L defeat to potential 2019 Gold Cup winner Presenting Percy. Some questioned Black Corton dropping back in trip to 2M4F but with Bryony Frost booked this Nicholls runner offers value if you want to oppose the front two.
1Pt Win CHARBEL
0.5Pt Win Black Corton
14:40 Kempton 2m5f (Winter) Unibet Lanzarote Handicap Hurdle (Listed Race) (Class 1) (4yo+)
This is a tricky race with Kloud Gate seeking a hat trick and the Nicholls charge Darling Maltaix up 12lb for the Ascot win. I’m siding with LORD NAPIER, the son of Galileo has 14lb on the Nicholls charger and a couple of lb against some of the others which could see him come through.
1Pt Win LORD NAPIER
And of course Warwick…
13:50 Warwick 12 Jan 2019
McCoy Contractors 2019 Construction News Awards Finalist Hampton Novices’ Chase (Listed) (Class 1) (5YO plus)
1Pt WIN ROCKY’S TREASURE
14:25 Warwick 12 Jan 2019
Ballymore Leamington Novices’ Hurdle (Grade 2) (Class 1) (5YO plus)
1Pt Win TIDAL FLOW